I am a graduate student of Political Science at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, with double Major in Methods and Comparative Politics and dual degree in Statistics. Previous to my PhD in Political Science I studied mathematics and computer science at the Institute of Mathematics and Computer Science (ICMC) at the University of Sao Paulo (USP) and social sciences at the Faculty of Philosophy, Languages and Literature, and Human Sciences (FFLCH) in the same university.
Currently (2017), my two areas of interest are Political Methodology and Political Economy of Distributive Politics. On the methods side, I am interested in developing empirical (statistical) and formal (analytical) models to study the politics of redistribution. I understand empirical modeling as the application of mathematical statistics to develop theory-oriented probabilistic models intended to account for the underlying process that generates the data. Because in Social Sciences more often than not we investigate processes that we do not get to measure directly, one of my interests are related to latent variable models and non-parametric density estimation. I also study causal inference in the context of social science research, particularly the application of the statistical framework for causal inference to the study the political economy of distributive politics. The challange here is to have a causal framework that preserves the fruitful idea of the the potential outcome approach and its understanding about identification of causal effects but set it free from the restrictions imposed by its assumptions (SUTVA, causal stability, etc) and its current limitations to deal with strategic behavior and dynamic causal effects. Finally, I am interested in the applications of Reinforcement Learning and Sequential Decision Making, which provide many insights to model dynamic social phenomena and learning in contexts of social interaction, strategic behavior, and uncertain environments.
On the substantive side, I am interested in the comparative analysis of the relationship between politics, economic performance, and distribution of income. I have studied the effect of electoral competition and legislative bargain in multiparty systems on the choices of redistributive programs and on the adoption of programatic interregional redistribution. I have also developed and used models with latent structure to investigate invidiuals support for redistribution in comparative perspective.